Stock price when the opinion was issued
Big runup, and then a sideways consolidation. Easy money's been made in energy. Oil likely to move lower and be in a sideways, choppy trading range. For the bulk of this year, and into 2024, energy stocks will go sideways and be relative underperformers. For example, if market's up 10%, energy might be up 8-9%. So they'll be broadly in line with market, but will underperform. They're late-cycle plays, and all his works shows that we're starting a new cycle.
It's such a broad sector, from energy to oil-related to materials to gold or uranium.
The most popular one related to the energy index is probably XEG. Exposure to most of the larger Canadian energy producers like CNQ, SU, etc.
What's catching his eye more right now is CGL, the gold bullion ETF. Recently broken out. He can see a scenario where gold moves higher to $2600 or even $3000 over the next year and a bit. Avoids the issues that come with mining in certain jurisdictions. Good way to play exposure to gold and to the commodity market in general.
He's relatively positive on Canadian energy, with some caveats. Oil stocks have been near the bottom of a trading range, whereas the gas stocks have done OK. More probability of upside in gas over the next couple of years. Yet there might be opportunity in oil stocks.
This ETF is probably more biased towards oil. Try to buy on a lift off the bottom, and then sell somewhere near resistance. This one is bouncing off the halfway point of the range, which is support from 2024. You have a decent chance of it getting to the $18-19 range or maybe a bit higher. He'd rather trade individual stocks than the ETF.
iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Energy (XEG-T) or BMO S&P/TSX Oil & Gas (ZE0-T)? Both track very similar industries. This one takes a market cap weighting approach as to how much of each company it holds. Both will be very correlated in their performance. The main difference will be how the big Canadian energy producers are performing. The top 3 or 4 big energy producers in Canada will make up something like 40% of this portfolio. If you thought there was going to be more trouble in the energy market, this one would probably do better, as they can better withstand the storm.