Stockchase Opinions

Derek Warren Vanguard REIT ETF VNQ-N WEAK BUY Sep 05, 2014

It does imitate the MSCI US REIT index. You are getting in quite late in the game if you get in at this time. There is so much good news that it might be time for a pullback.

$77.920

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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COMMENT
US real estate ETF? 12-basis point MER so it is a low-cost one. Indexed based.
TOP PICK

US house prices are just hitting bottom and resales have picked up along with new home building over the last couple of months. US REITs are best positioned to benefit at this time. A number of Canadian REITs have raised money in recent weeks to go into the US.

BUY

Very well diversified with a mixed bag of healthcare, retail, commercial, residential. He wouldn’t be uncomfortable buying this. The fees are very low.

BUY

He likes this. There is a big problem in REITs right now with all the struggles of the big box retailers in Canada. In the US, this one is a very big ETF, and is extremely well diversified.

BUY

He is talking about US REITS generally and using the Vanguard REIT ETF to show the pattern across the industry. The EFT was trading in a consolidation range ($80-85’s) all of last year, then there was a sharp drop. The ETF has been retracing but the price (now $75.88) is not close to where it fell from. He thinks he is seeing smart money coming in to take advantage of panicked selling. The average yield is high (6% to 10%). For this ETF, he would set a stop at $72. These stocks are not bond alternatives, but bond mutual funds have given zero return over the past three years (interest minus drop in the share value minus fees = zero). REITS have more risk than bonds but they are lower risk at this time because they have dropped significantly.

BUY

VNQ is always a good option, with a yield of high 2%, gives broad diversification.

PARTIAL BUY

A contrarian call. There remain gems in the rubble of commercial real estate.

BUY

A contrarian call. Up 3.4% in May. She just bought Prologis. Certainly, will improve when rates decline.