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Daily Stock Opinions and Ratings
Stockchase Opinions

Gerard FergusonSeven Generations Energy LtdVII.TOBUYApr 04, 2017

One of the best resource plays in North America. A well-run company. They’ve had some hiccups, but that is due to happen when you grow at the clip they are growing. It is everything from infrastructure to ability to grow wells, but what is not in question is the resource that is there right now.

Gerard FergusonGerard Ferguson
Owned
Unlock Rating
$25.21

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
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PAST TOP PICK

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Jan 28, 2022
(A Top Pick Feb 09/21, Up 9%) Continues to hold.
Photo of Eric NuttallEric Nuttall
Owned
Unlock Rating
$8.45

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
TOP PICK

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Feb 09, 2021
They're 45% into natural gas and 55% liquids. They exposes you to an improving natural gas business. They've reduced their growth rate in recent years, which lowered their decline rate. So they generate more free cash glow. The market doesn't appreciate how quickly their business model has changed. Based on $60 oil, he sees 190% upside. Hopes they keep production flat so they can later buy back all their shares. (Analysts’ price target is $8.81)
Photo of Eric NuttallEric Nuttall
Owned
Unlock Rating
$7.73

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
BUY

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Dec 11, 2020
A core holding. Management has done a good job repositioning the company. They are slowing production growth and maximizing free cashflow. They are deleveraging. Their ability to generate free cashflow is extremely high. 16% free cashflow yield at $50, and 34% free cashflow yield at $60.
Photo of Eric NuttallEric Nuttall
Owned
Unlock Rating
$6.42

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
BUY

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Sep 18, 2020
He has been adding to his position. They have successfully transitioned from a growth story. They are now into maintenance mode. Their free cashflow has now gone up and they can generate $350M of free cashflow. The company may start looking into share buybacks.
Photo of Eric NuttallEric Nuttall
Owned
Unlock Rating
$4.29

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
COMMENT

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Jun 19, 2020
70% revenue from condensate? Oil prices has recently rallied due to OPEC agreement extensions and a recovery in demand. Associated natural gas production has begin to rise again and natural gas prices have fallen. He thinks a large oil sands producer using condensate may take advantage of this company and consider it as an acquisition target and a re-rate candidate.
Photo of Eric NuttallEric NuttallUnlock Rating
$3.28

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
BUY

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

May 15, 2020
At single digit oil, bankruptcies were a worry. He thinks we are no longer at that level. Unless a second dramatic wave of COVID occurs, demand for oil should continue to improve. VII gives exposure to natural gas, but they are also the largest condensate producer in Canada. He believes condensate price weakness is going away as the heavy oil differential has shrunk to only $4 per barrel. This is a sign the demand for Canadian heavy oil is strong. The company has brought down its corporate decline rate. This could triple or quadruple in value, he thinks.
Photo of Eric NuttallEric NuttallUnlock Rating
$2.46

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
RISKY

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

May 08, 2020

He thinks natural gas will be the energy of the future. He is not an energy expert. He has gone with Peyto. Consider taking small positions when there are big market down days. But they must be good companies that will survive. 7 out of 10 of these companies may go under. Think of them as call options.

Photo of Brian Acker, CABrian Acker, CA
Unknown
Unlock Rating
$2.66

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
DON'T BUY

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Mar 06, 2020
They are a condensate focused producer -- it trades at a premium to WTI oil prices. They have made efficiency gains, but still face a very steep corporate production decline curve. There are better names out there.
Photo of Eric NuttallEric Nuttall
No
Unlock Rating
$5.04

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
COMMENT

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Oct 11, 2019

VII-T vs CR-T? He would stay away from CR-T due to its debt level. VII-T has a good management team, but its slow down in growth highlighted their 50% decline rates in existing assets. This causes too much of their cash flow to still be required for maintenance. He would prefer NVA-T, which trades at a lower multiple of cash flow, has a better balance sheet, and lower decline rates on production.

Photo of Eric NuttallEric Nuttall
Unknown
Unlock Rating
$7.63

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
WATCH

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Oct 10, 2019
They are a liquids producer. The problem he sees is their high decline rates. They have a high replacement requirement. He is watching it but it is not a name he is covering right now.
Photo of Josef SchachterJosef SchachterUnlock Rating
$7.66

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
HOLD

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Aug 26, 2019
It is a condensate producer. They have high decline rates so have to be actively drilling. $14.50 is the book value. It is an interesting story. Stay with it if you own it.
Photo of Josef SchachterJosef SchachterUnlock Rating
$6.53

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
PAST TOP PICK

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Aug 19, 2019
(A Top Pick Aug 08/18, Down 55%) All energy stocks have gone down, but he's buying them now as they bottom. He sold this before it really plunged.
Photo of Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI CIMJeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI CIM
No
Unlock Rating
$7.28

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
DON'T BUY

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

Jun 13, 2019
It hit a 52 week high recently. They used to under promise and over deliver and then after that they kept missing their quarters. You have to pick your spots for these energy names.
Photo of Peter ImhofPeter Imhof
No
Unlock Rating
$6.60

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
WAIT

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

May 28, 2019
A gas liquid oriented Alberta producer. It is down because everything Canadian is down. Good Management and good assets. He would prefer to wait until the June quarter reporting to enter.
Photo of Bruce Campbell (1)Bruce Campbell (1)Unlock Rating
$7.80

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy
WAIT

Seven Generations Energy Ltd(VII.TO)

May 24, 2019
He met management for the first time last week. They are the largest condensate producer in Canada and will continue to build their "super-pads". The stock is cheap. There will be more natural gas takeaway capacity out the province. He believes they will use their excess cash flow to help reduce their 45% decline rates and pay down debt. He is doing homework to decide if he adds it to his list. They could become the consolidator of condensate production in Canada.
Photo of Josef SchachterJosef Schachter
No
Unlock Rating
$7.78

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$8.45

As of Apr 07, 2021. Market Open.

Energy

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