Stockchase Opinions

Keith Richards Americas Silver Corp USA-T WAIT Jan 08, 2018

Silver has a somewhat related pattern to gold, except it has some industrial applications. Stock is moving sideways, in a very volatile, but basing pattern. It needs to break that at about $5.50-$6. Until it breaks that, he wouldn't touch it.

$5.230

Stock price when the opinion was issued

precious metals
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TOP PICK

Management was the merger and acquisition team for Barrick (ABX-T) and left when Barrick bought their copper asset. Will produce about 2.5 million ounces. Very levered to the price of silver. Thinks they will continue to acquire.

TOP PICK

A great company. Good management. This should be the 1st quarter that the cost of production is below the cost of silver. Have brought the $35 costs of 2011 down to $12. Production costs will continue to go down. One of their Mexican mines has an offshoot of zinc and lead. That covers the cost of production. By 2018, costs should be down to zero, because of the offshoot of these 2 by-products.

HOLD

The question is, how do you see the price of precious metals from here. We saw the bounce back from around $1050 touching $1300 recently. Thinks this is a reversion to the mean in that gold and silver, not to mention oil and other metals, were greatly oversold. To get back to some equilibrium positions you need silver back to $1600 and gold where it is. He is very keen on both going forward.

WATCH
A small silver company that he has looked at. There is a valuation opportunity but it is just such a small company. He does not know a lot about their acquisition. After we get news on it you have 12 months where they will be range bound. It is a bit early for a re-rating.
TOP PICK
They just bought Pershing Gold. This is run by the old Barrick team who will grow USA by acquisition. This should be trading much higher at the $400 million market cap instead of $120 million. Really good entry point. Low cost of production. (Analysts’ price target is $5.40)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 22/18, Down 3%) It's his favourite--and largest--position, because of its great management. It's the M&A team from Barrick. They've been buying companies, the only junior miner to. They've been mining low-grade rock full of lead and zinc as they save the high grade, saving until silver prices rise and they take advantage of that. Other companies are mining their high grade to stay alive. Amazing execution and they will have a quarter where earnings will rise 300%.
BUY
Loves management who have performed very well. Were increasing production as they lowered costs. They just had a bad quarter because of a lot of expenses from several mines they were starting, but those mines will produce good cash flow. Sandstorm and Eric Sprott are the biggest shareholders.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 16/19, Up 87%) He still holds this. Likes the management team that has executed well. It should be trading higher than where it's at right now too. Management is the M&A team from Barrick.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 23/19, Up 10%) A bit of a lagger but he continues to like and hold it. They had some Covid issues but everything is coming together, especially with their leverage. They stayed alive during the worse by mining low grade. They have started mining high quality gold.
PARTIAL BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

USA hit a 52-week high today. It is moving with the sector but also good growth and lower losses are expected. The recent consolidation of assets and financing have brought further interest to the company. We would be OK letting momentum ride here for a bit, trimming into additional strength to maintain an appropriately-small-sized position. 
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