Tamarack Valley EnergyTVE.TOTOP PICKJan 15, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
(Note: Doesn't own, but he does own HWX and likes the upcoming merger.)
In oil sands, but not one of the major players. Merger consolidates 2 names in the region, should see a lot of cost savings. Merged entity will be a bigger player, grabbing more institutional attention. You can play the merger through either company.
Using water-flood technology to pick up production. Great growth, expecting 15% production growth in the next 6 months. Generates lots of cash. Recently increased dividend by 25%, increasing share buybacks.
International investors are coming back to Canada for energy. Foresees multiple expansion as well as pricing power. Yield is 1.19%.
Like both, but TOU has been sideways, because they are investing in capex, but turning back to shareholder returns. So, TOU should return to vogue. TVE has been a tear lately but trades at 11x forward PE with good growth. TVE will be a little more volatile. He expects oil to return to the $70s, but it will take time to clear the Strait of Hormuz.
Really well run. Successfully pivoted away from mature assets with limited running room. Almost a pure play in the Clearwater. At the bleeding edge of using water flooding, phenomenal results. Expects a good report on year-end reserves (company expects at least 25 years of running room in this play). Continued success should bring multiple expansion. Sees 50-ish% upside from here with $60-70 oil over next 1-2 years.
A significantly cheaper alternative to HWX. Equally good management and properties, with same amount of running room and perhaps even more delineated inventory. Core holding for him, doesn't anticipate trimming.
Screens very well on his earnings based approach. Management team came from Apache Canada where they grew production from under 20,000 barrels a day production to 100,000 in less than 7 years. They are applying the same discipline to this company. Currently there is a huge discrepancy between Haves and Have-Nots in the Canadian oil patch. The people who have access to capital can get into and drill undeveloped properties and this company falls into that category. Just made an acquisition.