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Bryn Talkington Tesla Inc TSLA-Q TRADE Jul 23, 2025

The fundamental business, EVs, is in decline, so expectations are -13% and -22% revenues and earnings. But the market will give Tesla the benefit of the doubt in robotics. She bought it recently at $293 and is now at $333. This will be rangebound from $260-350. Now, sell calls. This won't change until there are new revenue streams to monetize. You can make money selling calls.

$332.560

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TRADE

Is not an investment, but a trade. Look at its volatility. At $350, write some calls. He targets $410. He constantly trims his holding. Is great to buy under $300, and sell above $350. It deserves it premium among car companies. Their future lies in robotics, not EVs. Musk plans to sell robots in 2026.

DON'T BUY

At today's valuation, you'd have to believe it will hit it out of the park in all areas and be super-profitable. He believes that the best EVs in the world today are Chinese, and at spectacular prices. Car manufacturing is not an easy gig. Buying this needs a major health warning attached.

WAIT

Investors vote with their dollars. Would be interested if they breaks $360, but time is a factor, because he expects a correction in August (historically true). Wait, and if it breaks out at $360, add a little.

DON'T BUY

Remarkable company in many ways on innovation. Trades at 165x forward PE, with people banking a lot on robotaxis. Interesting technology, but you can buy GOOG and get Waymo for free. Waymo is actually ahead of where TSLA is on robotaxis.

HOLD

He hopes their robotics and self-driving divisions produce returns over time. He wouldn't buy ahead of the print, but this stock is a call-writer's dream. He is not expecting a big number from them next Wednesday.

DON'T BUY

Very volatile. The story is shifting a bit from rapid EV growth to managing its scale. Q2 saw delivery fall 5% YOY, but still beat reduced expectations. Price cuts help, but continue to pressure profitability. Limited near-term upside. Value is 2/10. Compressed margins, rising Chinese competition. Political drama as well.

DON'T BUY

No doubt the company has challenges. Earnings growth is -20% in a quarter and will happen again, where do you see that turn in growth? It's not enough for Elon Musk to say, I'm back. Yes, Tesla is developing robotaxis, but so is Waymo at Google in partnership with Uber.

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TOP PICK

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is a leading player in the electric vehicle (EV) industry, known for its innovative approach to automobility and clean energy solutions. It was founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning, with Elon Musk joining subsequent funding rounds and later becoming the chief architect and face of the company. Tesla’s product lineup includes fully electric vehicles such as the Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y, along with energy storage solutions like the Powerwall and Powerpack. The company aims to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy through both electric vehicles and renewable energy products. Social media mentions are up 104.9% in the past 24h.

DON'T BUY

Cult stock. Losing market share. People are paying up for what it's going to do with robotics in the future. He's not.