Bruce Campbell (2)The Stars Group IncTSGI.TOWATCHDec 09, 2019
GC-T vs. TSGI-T. They trade at significantly different multiples: 20 times vs. 10 times. TSGI-T has a bigger international perspective, but has more competition. He would prefer TSGI-T if they get their merger done.
(A Top Pick May 29/19, Up 66%) He sold out previously. He liked the 5 year forecast. As we came into late last year some of the volatility in the stock was not what he was interested in so he exited. He believes they will be stronger going forward.
(A Top Pick Feb 25/19, Up 52%) It was a rollercoaster. He exited in November on news of the acquisition. It's a speculative stock. He still likes the outlook for this industry though.
The outlook for online gaming is very positive. They are doing the merger with Flutter out of the UK and will add scale to the company. In five years you will see in-game betting like you have in the UK. The NFL would be a monster business.
He has liked it from back in the old days. They made a big acquisition about two year ago that gave them a big footprint in the gaming space. They are merging with Flutter Entertainment in the UK. They will be a powerhouse in the gaming space in Europe. There is deal risk. You may want to sit n the sidelines if you don’t own it or hold on until the final deal price narrows a bit.
A speculative play. It's a bet on their growth prospects. The stock didn't do well until the takeover move. There hasn't been much movement after that takeover announcement. Take profits.
(A Top Pick Nov 15/18, Up 21%) He's starting to exit it after the merger deal was announced. It's a speculative stock. Some may not buy this because it is in the gambling space and that will hurt the stock. A good time to take some profits.
It is trading at a pretty sizeable discount to the price with which Flutter is trying to take them out at. It makes sense to try to put these two together. You are dealing with uncertainty about M&A and regulatory issues.
A gambling stock including poker. The upside potential is 92%, says his model. Shareholders seem to have become frustrated they have not signed more deals with the various US states. If they can get things signed, it has great potential as it trades at a discount to book value.
(A Top Pick May 29/19, Down 8%) He recently added to this. It's a five-year play on the gambling sector that's supposed to grow 20% a year. TSGI has positioned itself well, but investor appetizer is not there right now, hence the pullback in May.
(A Top Pick Sep 13/18, Down 32%) They went out and bought another company and took on a lot of debt which concerns the market. He expects them to aggressively pay down their debt. They signed deals with companies like FOX and the market doesn’t care.
Fox Bet partnering? Hi model price is $28.75. He would trade it here, now that it found support at $20.42. An ever changing regulatory environment, so not a long term hold.
It's close to 52-week lows, but they executed deals last year to be one of the biggest online gambling companies in the world. A fear with TSGI is them loading up on debt to make all these acqusitions. It will take time to pay that off. They've partnered with Fox, which bodes well. It's risky and demands patience.
Looking at the past 5 years, earnings and FMV haven't gone anywhere. They have lots of things on the go. Good upside potential, good balance sheet, reasonably cheap, but give me some excitement. If online gambling gets passed in the states, maybe something will get going. Needs a catalyst.
GC-T vs. TSGI-T. They trade at significantly different multiples: 20 times vs. 10 times. TSGI-T has a bigger international perspective, but has more competition. He would prefer TSGI-T if they get their merger done.