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TC EnergyTRP.TOPARTIAL BUYFeb 16, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 27, 2026. Market Open.
Pulled down toward the 200-day MA, so an opportunity to pick up shares. RSI is down around 29, indicating it's oversold. Nice, steady name with pretty low beta (half that of the TSX). For the conservative, dividend part of your portfolio. Yield is 4% and safe, expected to increase over coming years.
Pipeline names serve an important need in a portfolio for those who are income-focused. Sector's been hot, valuations have come up dramatically. If you own, continue to hold. Growth outlook quite strong.
Pipelines will definitely benefit from the need for power for AI. But they can't ship more than is already allocated, so they don't get as much operating leverage as some other companies.
Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities for safety, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not). This name will give you a good dividend and safety. You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
Possible deal with Iran caused similar price action across the whole complex. The whole space was at a high.
Both an oil play and an energy infrastructure play. Project backlog of $8B (with ~90% sanctioned, and another $12B being discussed) looks very visible. Great company. Trades at premium of 20x PE for 5% growth.
Better places for new $$.
Definitely holding. Nat gas prices have gone up 40% since the beginning of the year. Sold its oil, kept natural gas, and now involved in nuclear. Decent dividend, with growth in 4-5% range. More pipeline infrastructure to be built in Canada, US, and Mexico. Still a buy.
A good prime minister in their corner who's working on pipelines as projects. Brendan is cautiously optimistic that there will continue to be pipeline expansion. TRP probably continues to do well. We've seen a bit of rebound in the pipeline sector. Lower interest rates should keep the economy at least at the same level, if not expand it. With pressure on currencies, sees pricing for all commodities in USD continue fairly strong.
Likes the natural gas sector as a transition sector, and we probably won't be burning as much in 25-50 years. Much better for the environment than coal.
TRP EPS was $1.35, much better than estimates of $1.09. Revenue of $4.23B was slightly below estimates. EBITDA of $3.1B was 10% better. It was a good quarter and the dividend was raised 3%. TC Energy's strongest quarterly Ebitda growth this year may be in 1Q, possibly expanding by mid-single digits. Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines Ebitda will likely be driven by higher NGTL rate-base earnings, helped by expansions, while Liquids Pipelines Ebitda growth could be robust amid easy comparisons after the oil spill limited Keystone volume in 1Q23. Power and Energy Solutions may be restricted due partly to Bruce Power Unit 1 maintenance. TC Energy still seeks C$3 billion in additional asset sales to continue deleveraging. Guidance of C$11.2-C$11.5 billion in 2024 Ebitda was reaffirmed, implying 3.4% growth at the midpoint including the C$200 million 4Q23 Coastal GasLink incentive payment. Capital spending could fall more than 30%, though is still likely to exceed cash flow. After a string of bad news, this was a good result. We might add a bit to an existing position, without getting big. The stock may be on the recovery road here.
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