Stockchase Opinions

Jason DonvilleTotal Energy Services IncTOT.TOBUYOct 03, 2012

Great performer. The earnings are good with oil in this range. It is a good long-term buy and hold.

$15.90

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oilgas field services
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TOP PICK

It's super cheap at 3x EV to EBITDA and 7x PE. Money is moving into energy services. TOT is lagging its larger peers. The CEO is strong, managing the balance sheet that should have zero net debt this year. Is growing at 16% this year. Pays a decent dividend.

COMMENT

Well-run company. Always trades at a bit of a discount to the sector because of the nature of the business. Not a bad one to get into.

BUY

(Market Call Minute) Not his top energy services name but this one has a great management team.

COMMENT

Great company and well managed. Within the oil/gas services names though, it is not his favourite name. He would prefer Pulse Seismic (PSD-T) or Horizon North (HNL-T). Likes Pulse Seismic because they lever technology very effectively in the great cash flowing company.

COMMENT

Likes the company, but it is going sideways and he felt there was just as much chance that it could go to $12 as they could go to $16. Because of this, he recently sold his position. He is not overly bullish right now on anything on the natural resource side including the energy side.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick March 5/12. Down 17.41%.) Oil/gas services have just kind of gone sideways over that period. ROE is still high. You just have to be patient. There is a bit is cyclicality.

HOLD

Seems to be range bound in the $13-$15 range. Numbers look good. ROE remains strong so he is just going to be patient. Great long-term track record.

TOP PICK

Operate in 3 areas, contract drilling, rentals and transport in Canada, US and Australia. In some good areas. 1.4% dividend yield. $16 in one year.

DON'T BUY

Convertibles? First of all, these are convertible into the equity of the company sold you want to have a good company. You also want a conversion premium that is not too expensive. In this case, these bonds have a conversion premium of over 80%. You advantage is about 3% per year which means it will be a long time before the premium is ever paid off and they mature in 2016.

BUY

Likes it and the team. Has been able to grow earnings. Done well in terms of pricing power. Started to gain some traction and is a larger holdings of his in the energy sector.

BUY
Price has fallen off, which is largely industry related such as low oil prices and natural gas going to all-time lows. This has always been a great profitable company with a good management team.
HOLD
One of the better oil service companies. Diversified and they execute well. Good balance sheet. Trading at very cheap multiples. Unfortunately, they have got caught in the whole situation of low oil prices and capital expenditures are coming down. One of the “go to” names when things when things rebound.
TOP PICK
3 divisions within the company giving you a broad diversity to a lot of different areas. One of them is compression, which is not that common. Good management. On a valuation trade-off, this is one of the best priced oil/gas services in Canada.
BUY
Good management team. Inexpensive. Well diversified. Getting into tank storage business, which is exciting.