Javed Mirza
Theratechnologies Inc
TH-T
COMMENT
Aug 13, 2019
Biotechs can be very volatile. 2016 to early-2018 saw an uptrend, then turned down to the present. Be cautious now. TH-T is waiting for FDA approvals of its drugs which could swing this up sharply.
Had 2 good phase 3 trials. 2nd trial is going on right now. Long-term data was very effective. FDA approval will probably happen in the next year. Probably the best takeout candidate in a biotechnology space.
Canadian. Excellent phase 3 product results. A take over target, in a position of being sold right now. They have lots of cash. At this level it’s a dollar below financing. Good product. Would buy at this price.
Excellent phase 3 results. They are a takeover target, they have lots of cash. Annoyed at management because last month they had 61 million in cash, and decided to put the company up for sale, while at the same time decided to raise money. They can't have it both ways.
Nothing wrong with the product. Good one to hold and to buy. Should be stable.
(A Top Pick July 10/17 - Down 13%.) He knew it was high risk. The biggest risk would be a non-approval or delay on the process of getting a drug approved. A delay came to place. Still watch the story for the future.
Every biotech company always has some life-altering technology, and it's always way too positive. Small-mid caps like this can have big moves. Reversing a sideways trend, and breaking up to new levels, so that's positive. Maybe some movement up to $12. Take a small position, don't expose yourself too much. Support will be around $8.50, and if it breaks, start exiting.
If this was a fundamental disaster, it's going to be news driven. If it's the only company in the sector that's falling, tech analysis goes out the window. It's at a pocket after a big pullback. It's a gamble, but it's probably at a point to buy right now.
Best quarter is the last one, which ends in February. December - May is optimal holding period. Lately, it's been trending lower. No reason to be enticed just yet. Want to see support at major moving averages.
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