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Thompson Creek Metals (TCM.TO)

BUY
Molybdenum is needed for hardening of steel. Prices have started to head higher again. Big demand from China. This is the purest play in Canada.
COMMENT
This is playing into the whole theme of how stable are commodity prices currently. Has been hit with a pullback in commodities in the last few days. Has very good sponsorship. Still too expensive for him.
BUY
Molybdenum producer. Not a lot of ways to play moly and this is one of the best producers. Molybdenum prices have started to rise in the last few months.
BUY
Future outlook for molybdenum will be directly linked to the outlook for steel. Expecting North American recovery to be flat and some of these stocks are running ahead of themselves. However, his FMV calculation for this company is good and it looks like it could give you some more.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 10/09. No change.) Molybdenum producer. Moly prices have moved up. China is exporting a significant amount of steel at elevated levels, which will create higher demands. Still a buy.
COMMENT
Molybdenum. The prices have been rising but have now started to flatten out. Moly prices will only continue to go up if the economy continues to improve. Strictly an economic play.
DON'T BUY
Main producer of molybdenum. Problem with a minor metal is that when it goes down, it does so quickly. Stock is priced as though the metal will be going up, but it hasn’t yet.
BUY
(Market Call Minute) Lots of upside.
BUY
Direct play on molybdenum, whose prices have started to move a little higher. Starting to look like a good entry point. Has lagged the metal names in general. China has become a net importer again.
BUY
Purest play on molybdenum. A core holding. Strong balance sheet and good cash holdings. Thinks the steel market looks better going forward.
BUY
Molybdenum is a weird market so be cautious but he thinks it is close to an uptick. Likes to Trade this one. Cash flow will be huge when moly prices recover. Some great projects and exploration projects.
WATCH
(Market Call Minute.) Molybdenum. One of the best base metal companies in Canada but the stock is not trading that great right now so watch to make sure that it doesn't continue to break down.
TOP PICK
Largest molybdenum producer. Great balance sheet, no debt and almost $4 a share in cash. Low mining costs. Great resources. Moly prices have been depressed recently but Chinese steel demand is still robust.
DON'T BUY
Molybdenum was a great play about 1.5 years ago and is still very interesting. Trading at 7.7X forward earnings but technically has dropped below the 50-day moving average and is moving towards the 200-day moving average.
PARTIAL BUY
Molybdenum, which he thinks will go higher in the next 1 to 2 years. Pretty good production profile going forward. At these levels he would start accumulating.
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