Stockchase Opinions

Rick StuchberryTencent Holdings Ltd TCEHYTOP PICKJan 15, 2020

Tencent is a Chinese Internet company. Great option if you are looking for growth.

$51.17

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$54.62

As of May 28, 2026. Market Open.

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RISKY

Important, because it's the super-app for the Chinese consumer. Has a gaming platform, chat platform, and moving into the AI sphere. Interesting equity, but you need to make a call on China as a whole. 

Remember what happened when the finance arm of BABA was supposed to go public:  CEO said some things, Chinese government stepped in, Ant Financial was pulled, stock price of BABA collapsed by 70%, CEO disappeared for a few months. During that time, Tencent all of a sudden had to make a large donation to charity -- not something you can forecast. By investing in Tencent, you have to sign up for that. 

Otherwise, a great company. Well managed, well structured, and they own the Chinese consumer.

DON'T BUY

He sold it a while ago. China has become uninveitable. Given Trump, this could be delisted. Lots of political risk. The valuation vs. US tech is attractive, though.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 23/21, Down 39%) Fundamental story is very good. Political interference from the Chinese government has been difficult and made investors shed the name. Political interference from the US by potential delisting. Attractively priced now, but political risk is too high. Sometimes you make a mistake, and it's time to sell.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Believes China regulation is heading towards hard science and applied science business models. Software not viewed as positively in China. Company will continue to grow. Current valuation presents good buying opportunity. Other sectors in China might be better options (those supported by government).
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 15/20, Up 19%) Great company with excellent core business. Important to the economy.. Always a risk in stocks in China with the Communist Party. Trimmed his position at $88 and recently bought back below $60.
TOP PICK
Recommendation to buy on the HK exchange. Price target is in HK$. Wanted exposure to Chinese internet but without the risk of the US delisting. The underlying growth of the Chinese market is significant. A very high growth company with dividends. There is growth in revenue and underlying market. (Analysts’ price target is $787.65)
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Tencent was nearly $100 two weeks ago and now $84. Similarly, BABA has popped from $225 back to $280, round trip. Tencent is seeing its first meaningful sell-off in a while. In the low/mid-$80s it is an interesting range.

BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks TCEHY stock pays only a 0.2% dividend and trades at a high 56x PE. Well, that’s high by video game standards, but minute compared to Amazon‘s 92x. Then again, Microsoft—which owns a small interest in games—trades at 34x, and TenCent’s own PE a year ago stood at 37.44x. TCEHY stock is trading less than US$6 below its 52-week high of $81.35. Read 4 More Alluring Gaming Stocks for the Win for our full analysis.
DON'T BUY
Challenge with Chinese stocks is when you invest in China, you don't actually hold the shares in your name. From a political perspective, you don't have claim to those assets. Now we have US-China tensions. He'd rather buy one of the multinational companies with operations in China that benefit from the recovery.
DON'T BUY
Ties to Chinese government? He does not own any Chinese listed stocks for fear of potential US de-listing. The issue is that you do not own the actual company, you own a "variable interest entity" -- a proxy for the underlying stock. If there were an issue that Canada came into conflict with China, your ownership could be in question. He is not willing to put clients into these entities.
HOLD
He owns it on a relatively small basis. It acts almost as an ETF on its own. It is a core holding he wants for exposure into China.
TOP PICK

This didn't come down much during the pandemic. Has good growth and diversification. Has its own payment system. Actually, this sold off last year during the trade war, but has held in this year like a rock. They are solid. Has good growth ahead. (Analysts’ price target is $56.67)

DON'T BUY

It struggled during the American tariffs, but has recovered a bit after the tariffs were lifted. He needs to see financial reporting from a company, and Chinese companies are only 70% compliant with global standards.

BUY

He owns this one -- about 1% of his portfolio. He has a price target of $53.70 US. It is undervalued. It is the largest online advertiser, gaming space and more. It is getting into fintech and cloud storage -- all with good long runways.