Opinions
Zachary Curry 
Stanley Works, The
SWK-N
PAST TOP PICK
Jun 05, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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SWK pays a yield of 4.0% but is not expected to grow its sales this year and profitability is anticipated to resume next year. Its debt levels are somewhat elevated but have been declining over the past few years. Its balance sheet has dropped significantly from 2021, where it had an equity position of $11.6B, to an equity position today of $9.5B. The company's earnings fell in 2022, leading to large negative free cash flows for the year. It trades at a high valuation of 34.8X forward P/E, but its share price has been consolidating around the ~$80 range. We feel that it may not do much for the next few quarters, but it does have a long history of profitability and returning value to shareholders, and we would be comfortable with the name while being mindful of its current risks.
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From end of 2022, markets have gone up. But this stock has gone nowhere, underperforming rest of market. Finally peaked up above $100, and now down. If start to see it get to $100-105, could be interesting technically.
Watch for whether it pops above resistance for just a couple of days, or does it go above resistance and stay there?
(A Top Pick May 24, 2017. Up 7%). This is a great company. They recently acquired Craftsman Tools from Sears. This is a good play on both the new home market and renovations. He expects price increases in the latter half of this year which will help. The proposed tariffs on steel and aluminum have affected them, but 40% of their sales are outside the US. They have a proprietary battery that they are considering using in all of their tools, which would improve customer retention. He is buying more, expecting a stock price rise toward the end of the year.