Opinions
Jennifer Radman
SPDR S&P 500 ETF
SPY-N
DON'T BUY
Jan 24, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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He did a put spread on May 2, the 500-520 end of July put spread. He wasn't concerned about NVDA or tech, but to the market's reaction broadly to Nividia's earnings. Rally broadening in the S&P had not happened. You're limiting your downside with a spread. He bought back the 500 put, which leads him long only the 599 outs.
Premium contentThe SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is a well-established exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, generally correspond to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. The ETF holds a wide array of stocks, providing broad exposure to the U.S. large-cap equity market. Established by State Street Global Advisors, SPY is a popular investment vehicle among individual and institutional investors due to its diversification, liquidity, and historical performance. Social media mentions are up 4% in the past 24h.
Major concern about this one is that it's really a technology ETF, given that 8 or 9 of the top 10 names are tech names. 40% of the S&P 500 is tech or tech-oriented, and we've never before seen this concentration. That's quite a bit of risk with so much exposure to one sector. Index is not as safe as it was 10 years ago.
Technology in this new world is exciting, but it's not cheap. Though earnings growth is very strong, how far will we let PE's go before we say they're too expensive?
People were thinking there was going to be volatility in 2017, but markets literally went straight up. Now the forecast for 2018 is higher volatility, and we’ll have to see what happens. This is based on the entire market, but you have to remember the market is not just made up of one thing, it is made out of other pieces of businesses. She runs a very concentrated portfolio, which allows her to cherry pick the parts of the market that she thinks will do well, so she is not just in the broad market. Doesn't see how people can do well by owning a broad market.