Simon Property Group Inc.SPGCOMMENTJun 09, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
They own the best-quality malls. Shares rebounded in late 2021 to pre-Covid levels, but have struggled since. Their 6.8% dividend yield is less attractive amid high interest rates. But its just-released quarter revived shares. They delivered a big revenue beat of 7.2% YOY, funds from operation also beat, and had a super 92% occupancy rate. Minimum rents were 3% YOY. They raised their earnings forecast. Also, their Sparc operation will partner with fast fashion company, Shein, to expand their online marketplace to Forever 21 stores. Goldman Sachs expects malls and retail to expand next year as more people shore in stores.
SPG is now trading at 17.5x times' Forward P/E.
The company’s revenue was hit quite hard during the pandemic and SPG’s revenue and EBIT in the trailing twelve-month did not recover to 2019’s levels.
The balance sheet is quite leveraged like other REITs, with net debt of $24.8B.
Total debt is around 6.5x times trailing twelve-month cash flow of $3.8B, and cash flow grew slightly around 3% compared to $3.6B last year.
Based on consensus estimates, sales are expected to grow by 2% - 3% on average going forward.The company has been resilient and managed to pay predictable dividends.
Although the dividend yield looks attractive and would likely be sustainable in the near term, the potential of consistently increasing dividends in a foreseeable future and long-term capital appreciation is not high.
The business’s growth outlook is not impressive, and SPG may face potential headwinds for growth due to the transition to e-commerce.
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US REITs? He shares his interest in the sector because they rose dramatically from the crisis years, and then eased back a little. There are 2 concerns. Higher interest rates and their ability to borrow. There is also the question about the need for property given the migration of consumer spending to the Internet from the old bricks and mortar mall. He would urge you to look at the Simon Property Group, because it is the largest and bluest chip of all the mall operators.