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San Gold CorporationSGR.H.VCOMMENTOct 30, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
This is a penny stock and he is not a fan of these. Stock shows a long decline from mid-2010 to the current time. It might be forming a bottom but he would think this is an event driven stock and you really have to believe in the fundamentals. Technicals don’t really work well on this kind of stock.
Been involved for many, many years. Have not met expectations over the last couple of years. Had to take on some debt and stock got cheap. He increased his position. Thinks gold will go up and so will this stock. Higher gold prices will start to skate them onside. They have to execute and to manage dilution.
At $1400-$1500 gold, they still have to develop their underground mine, which has been challenging. At current gold levels, investors are probably dumping the stock because prospects could get more difficult. You need gold prices to make a dramatic turn and she doesn’t expect this for the next 2 years anyway.
Has been a problematic company to say the least. History of missed production and cost guidance. Recently replaced Management and CEO, who he has not yet met and partially reserves judgment. They have significant capital requirements over the next little while. For the time being he sees a lot better opportunities out there.
In a district that will be mined for the next 20 years. Has great potential. One problem they have suffered through the last several years has been that they have been building out the mine and perpetually missed their guidance in the number of ounces and cash costs. New CEO seems to be doing a good job of executing and bringing the guidance in line to a reasonable level where expectations are hopefully met. Last quarter they just came out with their highest quarterly production, which is a good sign. Thinks it will have a strong Q4 but in this market you have to continually show the market that you can continually create cash flow and not have to do lots of development work.