Stock price when the opinion was issued
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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The volatility you have seen is very much a play on nickel prices, which were high a few years ago and plummeted to a very low level about 6 months ago. This has impacted the share price. He has found money in this company through their debt. They are rated just below investment grade and have bonds in 2018 and 2020 that yield roughly 7.5%. A much safer way to play this company.