Stock price when the opinion was issued
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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Got out of the stock when they got into Madagascar as he felt there was too much to be spent. It was a huge project in a potentially unstable political environment. The positive side was that they had some super partners. Still doesn’t think it is clear enough for him to step back in. He wants to see how they operate, and if the politics settles down.