Stockchase Opinions

Bryden Teich Royal Bank RY-T HOLD Nov 17, 2021

He owns TD and RY right now. Setup is interesting. OSFI recently released the handcuffs on dividends and share buybacks. Usually banks do well at the beginning of a tightening cycle. We're in a tremendously over-leveraged economy. As we go along, and rates rise, banks on the other side of this credit cycle might have a tough time. He's as underweight banks as he's ever been. TD and RY are still great franchises, but he's not that excited about the banks. They can go higher, but you have to evaluate the risks of the credit cycle.
$132.120

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 25/19, Up 94%)

Excellent bank with international presence. Will continue to own shares. Brand value very strong in Canada. Will continue to buy whenever the share price dips. Balance sheet excellent. Not exposed to the threat of tariffs from the USA. 

BUY

Her favourite Canadian bank. Well positioned domestically, US operations will benefit from capital markets activity. HSBC acquisition should increase potential domestically. 

HOLD

The best Canadian bank.

WEAK BUY

In his opinion, the only quality banks in Canada are RY and NA. Best run for decades. He's not a huge bull on the Canadian banks, but this is one of the two names he'd buy.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 09/24, Up 29%)

Will benefit from any passive flows given its huge weight in ETFs. A quality company. Is not overly concerned with credit losses.

BUY

Value scores 8/10, fundamentals 8/10. King of capital, resilience, and diversified lending. Steady, consistent beats compared to the other Canadian banks. Strong Q1, shrugging off a lot of the rate cut noise. Still sees upside in wealth management and US expansion. Rock-solid balance sheet that can weather any storm.

Slowing mortgage growth, which could continue if Canadian housing slows and tariffs ramp up. Core hold for her on reliability and growth.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

The gold standard. Paying a premium valuation for a premium asset. Good opportunity to buy if it came off a bit. Because of its premium status, it's come off less than the others.

STRONG BUY

Likes the big 5 Canadian banks; all have wealth management, retail, and commercial banking in Canada. This one is among the cream of the crop, over-capitalized, best performer. Rock-solid dividend yield ~4%. Nothing not to like about it. Best in wealth management. Steady dividend growth.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

His least-favourite Canadian bank, the most over-valued. Prefers TD because it was beaten up, and BNS for better value. If it's new money, wait till $130-140, though you could buy a small tranche yere.

WEAK BUY

His big position in Canada. Leader in wealth management. Great capital markets business. Great balance sheet. Very well managed. When you get into a sloppy market, you want to own the best. Thinks you could buy this here, but he's not adding any new positions in anything at all right now.