Ferrari N.V.RACEPAST TOP PICKApr 01, 2019Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 24, 2026. Market Open.
Shares fell after a weak sales forecast and their EV launch. Shares have since come back a little. The EV car doesn't look like a Ferrari, which worried some investors, but some high-profile customers have said they like he EV which is sold out through 2027. RACE has pricing power.
(Analysts’ price target is $456.30)The high end is still spending on luxury goods. This stock is extremely volatile and very niche. Wealthy shoppers don't really slow down spending in a recession, and their income tends to be more consistent. But if the stock market rolls over, this name could see a couple of weak quarters. Not for her portfolios, but analysts still see upside.
Instead, she has exposure to more defensive consumer staples such as DOL and AMZN for her main positioning.
The amazing thing is that people who buy one don't stop at just one. Resale values can be much higher than what they paid. Demand is insane, slower in China. Growth phase going forward is full-electric, planning to launch in Q4 2025.
One of the world's best companies with a huge backlog, lots of predictability, and slowly adding more cars over the long term. Deserves its premium valuation.
Phenomenal company, massively profitable. Highest gross margins in the industry. Rather than a car company, he thinks of it as a luxury good manufacturer. LVMH came out yesterday with lots of weakness, emanating from China. Ferrari is different. There's such a long wait list for their cars, it's just not economically sensitive. No matter what, the billionaires will pony up.
Be patient, don't chase. Look at on a pullback during market weakness, which will happen.
Still likes it, and would buy at this price, though of course he prefers pullbacks on some temporary issue. Buying for new clients. Sees it adding new cars and new lines each year. Adding customization and special incentives, growing margins. Valuation is not cheap, but if it were cheap it would be called Ford and you wouldn't want to own it.
Not a lot of exposure to China, so not seeing the same pullback as in other luxury names.
Fantastic stock since Day 1. Short term, looks a little soft. Stories about high-end real estate not moving and high-end consumer getting tapped out (but he thinks the wealthy always have money). Looking a bit top heavy. Would expect around $390 as a spot to park; if that doesn't hold will probably see $365 level. Ultimate pounding would be around $310, a 25% haircut.
RSI compared to S&P above the line and leading. You want names like this long term.
High quality company that consistently performs. High multiple on stock, but quality products. Doesn't own shares in company, but thinks highly of the company - follows closely. High demand for products with top price tag. High net worth individuals continue to buy products. Very high margins produce excellent cash flows.