Stockchase Opinions

Christine Poole Pembina Pipeline Corp PPL-T BUY Apr 21, 2025

Retiree wants income and less volatility.

Canadian infrastructure name. She owns for income in client portfolios. Robust business model. Often has long-term, take-or-pay contracts; visible cashflow stream. Guided that it can grow EBITDA (cashflows) by single digits over next few years. She'd expect dividend increases to reflect that. 

Stock's pulled back with underlying commodity prices. Should have lower volatility than energy producers. Yield is 5.3%.

$51.880

Stock price when the opinion was issued

pipelines
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BUY

Energy infrastructure names provide good income flow. Less influenced by direction of commodity prices. Long-term contracts. Well positioned to benefit from increased nat gas production. Defensive. Yield is just under 6%; dividend increased consistently, and that should continue.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Does not own shares due to market cap size (prefers mid call names). Overall, is a high quality company. Assets are very valuable as it is very hard to replicate. National recognition that Canada needs new pipelines for energy security. Very strong dividend yield that is safe. 

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

In mid-December, PPL provided a business outlook, which we think was decent, but did result in a bit of a downward move in the stock and also saw it get a broker downgrade. The sector has also been a bit weaker with general inflation, rate and economic concerns. But, it is still up 15% in the past year, offers a solid, growing dividend, and consensus calls for low, but steady, growth, in the 3% to 5% range. At 16X earnings, we think it looks good for income primarily, but with at least some growth potential. 
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WEAK BUY

Growth estimates of pipelines have really gone up in past few months with nat gas prices going higher. More throughput looking likely on Trans Mountain. More incentive in Canada to talk about moving oil East-West and North-South.

Perhaps #4 or 5 on his list of which pipes to buy first. Solid company, valuation more attractive than previously. You won't get hurt with this one.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Great operator over time, nice dividend yield. All pipelines have had a rough patch -- markets correcting plus cloud over tariffs. Tariffs don't really impact it, as it's just a toll road. With Canada's interest rates going lower, and demand generally going up over time, this name should be OK.

Looking at how the chart's acting, you may want to wait for more of a correction to buy. If you're a long-term investor, sit tight, collect the dividend, and you'll be OK.

BUY

It was a top pick last month and he still likes the valuation. There is lots of growth ahead for natural gas since the demand for natural gas is expected to increase in North America in the next 10 years. This is due to the switch from coal to gas, LNG, on-shoring, and the needs of data centres. PPL is well diversified, has good supplies, a healthy balance sheet and good growth. There was a draw-down early in 2025 but he is not sure why.

BUY

Good run second half last year. Then a deeper correction, but it's broken out of the downtrend. Established pretty nice support ~$50. Technically encouraging, looks to be back under accumulation.

BUY

It holds a dominant position in the natural gas and LNG market. It has less leverage than some other pipelines and is self-funding from free cash flow. It has entered into a joint venture for a data base to be built on their land. Has a good dividend of 5 to 5 1/2% and the risk/reward is quite attractive. A comment was made that the telecoms are lagging even with falling interest rates.

TOP PICK

Integrated across the entire value chain, from well head to end user. Earns revenue every step of the way for gas and oil molecules. 80-90% of earnings are contracted, and that's what the dividend is based on. Working on really big (for them) LNG export facility off coast of BC. 

Likes growth. Good operator, very little commodity price exposure, consistent earnings, very safe dividend. Long-term buy and hold. Yield is 5.4%, and the dividend continues to rise.

(Analysts’ price target is $60.58)