Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOTOP PICKOct 01, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 01, 2026. Market Open.
Exposure to the 4 horsemen of Western Canadian growth: gas, LNG, condensate, and crude. Partnership with META. Heartland Extraction Plant should see more volumes. Leverage to the pipeline going west out of Alberta. Exposure to Cedar LNG facility under construction.
Low double-digit internal growth, plus dividend yield, gives you ~15% annual compound return. Yield is 4.65%.
They will benefit from the long-term investments that Canadian government is making in Western Canada, like growing oil and natural gas production (LNG Canada). They have a good track record of completing projects on time and on budget. Always a good dividend payer, now at 4.5%. The midstreams are a safe way to play ongoing production in Western Canada.
There are some overhangs on deals with KKR and Apollo but it is well run and has the best growth prospects of similar companies. The coming increase of LNG is good for Pembina as the Canadian infrastructure gets larger. Even at higher prices today it is showing strength.
A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not).
You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
Pipeline returns have never been stronger and there is a more visible earnings growth thesis than any other sector that he has seen. Great combination of growth and dividend. Have expansion projects and pipeline-connections which should boost earnings over 30% over the next 2 years. Have been pinched a little bit by their acquisition of Provident giving them more exposure to commodity-based pricing, frac spreads, which is about 30% of their business now. That will drop to 20% over 2014. Their conventional business is so strong that even frac spread compression, like we’ve seen, will be overpowered.