Opinions
Eric Nuttall
Painted Pony Energy
PONY-T
COMMENT
Jul 19, 2017
$4.720
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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BUY
They have significant assets in the core area that will benefit from LNG. They had a tough second quarter and production came in because they shut in some production. The fourth quarter is going to be good. He thinks they can buy down debt next year. It is a higher beta stock and not owned by institutions. They could be a takeover candidate 3 or 4 years down the road.
oil
gas
DON'T BUY
He is bullish on Albertan-based natural gas because we have declining production and supply, increased take away capacity and inventories are at a 10 year low. The winter will eventually come and then there is the prospect of depleting storage. A lot of Nat gas companies have hedged away their Alberta gas exposure. Pony still leaves him a little uncomfortable, however. He likes BRK-T, TOU-T and ARX-T. The balance sheet of PONY-T leaves him pause.
oil
gas
Hasn’t held this for about 2 years. If bullish on Canadian gas, this is not a bad name. They’ve suffered from an equity issuance they did earlier this year, where they diluted the shareholder base by about 58%. That was to get more drilling depth acreage, more contiguous where they can draw longer laterals. Trading inexpensively relative to its inventory depth, but there is a lack of a lot of pipeline, and thinks it will continue to sell at a disconnect. There are better names in the US.