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Stockchase Insights Pfizer Inc PFE-N DON'T BUY Sep 23, 2024

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

With a 5.7% yield, certainly many investors will like what they see as far as income goes from PFE. The company also has a fairly decent history of raising dividends. In 2014 it was 26 cents, it is 42 cents now. As interest rates decline, its dividend may become more attractive to investors. The stock is cheap at 11X earnings, and now up 2% YTD. Our value trap comment mostly refers to lack of growth. EPS this year is expected to be $2.61, not much above the levels of nine years ago and well below the Covid peak (2021). That would not be so bad, if not for the fact that debt has nearly doubled as well in the past 10 years. So there has been no growth but still, financial risks have increased here.
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DON'T BUY

He owned it but sold. Free cash flow is not abundant and it has a lot of debt. It will take time to turn around but pays a good dividend.

Unspecified

She likes the space but people are not investing in it. It has a low valuation and is tempting but she prefers elsewhere. It is a global leader in a crowded field. She sees 5% growth so there is some upside.

COMMENT

It needs a catalyst, like a new cancer formulation. Otherwise, you're just collecting that 6.75% dividend.

DON'T BUY

The problem with pharma is that their drugs all face a patent cliff. Over the last 25 years, pharma companies have tried to sustain themselves through consolidation (mergers, buying small companies). Caution: the dividend may look attractive, but that could be the result of the falling share price.

SELL ON STRENGTH

Laggard. Doesn't see anything in the healthcare sector that points to a turnaround in the near term. Target on the sector's back on margins. Stock's bounced over the last few weeks, use that to move on.

WATCH

Worth taking a good, hard look at. Phenomenal yield, and he likes yield. Chart is starting to form a bit of a bottom. Low PE. Has things in the pipeline that the market's not paying for. If you're a longer-term investor, well worth sitting on it and getting rewarded while you wait for an upside pop from the drugs coming through as hoped.

He's looking at it closely.

SELL ON STRENGTH

Downtrend, lower highs and lower lows. Never assume that the downtrend's over until the chart proves it. Last high and last low are being taken out. If you own, wait till it rallies and then get out.

Unspecified

Holds it in the dividend income fund. Has a safe dividend of 6 to 6 1/2% with cash flow. Has a large pipeline of new drugs but it is difficult to predict how many or which ones will take.

DON'T BUY

Sold it a few years ago because R&D activity wasn't there, and were overpaying for companies, namely Seagen. The stock is cheap, but carries a lot of debt. Isn't sure if the dividend is secure.

DON'T BUY

It reports Tuesday. We need to see dramatic results in its drug trials. Shareholders are getting restive. It's been a while since they bought Seagen. Who knows what Trump has up his sleeve against this industry.

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