Petro-Canada (PCA.TO)

BUY
Doing really well. Diversifying globally. Integrated so you have both sides of the play. Into the oil sands. A very good core holding.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 23/04. Up 7%.) The leader in integrated oil and gas stock. Still buying.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trading at high price levels. Because they are integrated they benefit from the whole spectrum from exploration to production to refining to retailing.
TOP PICK
Has a value of $85 in 1 year which is a 20% gain. Looking at $6.93 in earnings this year and $7.23 next year.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top PIck Mar 10/05. No change.) Still likes. Low multiples.
TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 18/05. Up 14%.) No valuation pick up, just take the earnings that analysts are projecting, put it on the balance sheet, same valuation as today you'll get a 23% increase in the stock.
TOP PICK
Reported $1.75 in the 1st quarter which basically was in line with expectations. What is exciting is the production profile going forward. Have tremendous growth in their upstream operations and projects, particularily in eastern Canada. Expects cash flows this year in the high $15 range and could go over $16 next year.
BUY
Owns this and Talisman (TLM-T). YOu can buy these stocks absolutely dirt cheap. Diverisified asset base, so you don't have to worry about governments stealing property from them.
TOP PICK
Has been a little flattish on the production side which is why it hasn't traded up to its peers. They have Buzzard, White Rose, Syncrude which are major projects all coming on stream in early 2006. Very inexpensive. Trades at 10.2 X earnings per share versus 17 of its large cap peers.
BUY
Makes a nice pair with Encana (ECA-T) in that Encana is domestic natural gas and Petro Canada is international oil. With the 2 together, you've got both legs covered.
BUY
Likes it. A good integrated play. Pretty cheap. Not a lot of production growth this year, but will see a some from its international side over the next few years. Margins on the mid-stream business are getting better.
HOLD
Financing the development portion of the oil sands project for UTS Energy (UTS-T) which will earn them interest in the oil sands portion. Expects production from Petro Canad to be relatively flat.
TOP PICK
He's now about 33/34% oils after re-balancing his Canada Focus fund. Model price is $88 which is a 22% differential.
TOP PICK
Has dropped, so becoming more of a buying opportunity. Production forcast for next year looks fairly flat, but going beyond that it will definitely pick up. Has a great downstream operation and great marketing operation. Very, very cheap. Almost 4 EBITDA multiple points below its peers at 4.4 X.
TOP PICK
Set yourself up for a year's buying time frame. The next 6 months will see a very good buying opportunity. Production is going down. Have a number of interesting projects on their slate to help bring their production up to much higher levels. Good value, trading at much lower multiples than its peer group.
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