Stockchase Opinions

Peter Arender, CFA Oracle ORCL-N DON'T BUY Apr 21, 2004

Not seeing earnings growth. Not cheap.
$12.070

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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WEAK BUY

Fantastic year. Strength is its salesforce and company longevity. Some cloud offerings, but a bit behind. Significant debt. Might hold in a basket, wouldn't be his only AI play. Chart looks as though it will continue higher.

WEAK BUY
ORCL vs. DELL

He owns both.

Took a bit of profit on DELL. Still holds about a 3-3.5% position in ORCL. If he had to choose, he'd say ORCL (at $189 now), for which his 12-month price target is $207.50.

BUY

They report Monday. They build in-demand data centres, so he expects incredible strength in their report.

DON'T BUY

It missed its last quarter and stocks that missed are being punished now and in the future until we hear better economic news. This will head further down.

TOP PICK

He targets $207.35. Operates three segments, including cloud. A great turnaround story to get into the cloud, now #4. They reported Nov. 5 and missed top and bottom lines. Shares traded off, but others snapped up those shares. They recently did a big partnership with Meta. The forward PE is an attractive 31x. Has 15% upside.

(Analysts’ price target is $197.84)
COMMENT

Trades at 26x PE and its last quarter was merely okay. He screwed up when he sold it and shares moved up after. He can't comment on this.

HOLD

Taken to the woodshed this week, mainly due to Trump and Stargate last week. He's been buying this week. No one's brought their price targets down. Monday may have been difficult, but it's a great opportunity to put some cash to work.

Pivoted nicely the way MSFT and IBM did years ago. Fourth main player in the cloud, which gives them recurring revenue. Best at cross-selling.

(Analysts’ price target is $207.00)
WAIT

They had a giant move after delivering great news, but now we're waiting for more great news. So, you have to wait till March 11 for their next report.

BUY

It reports Monday. A good software company that's become a great data centre company. But AI stocks have not traded the same since DeepSeek  late January. That said, he expects Oracle to say good things.

BUY

Oracle was a little late pivoting from hardware to software, but have very deep pockets so they now own #4 in cloud. He targets $207.