Opinions Chris Blumas
Onex CorpONEX.TODON'T BUYDec 13, 2023
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.
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Stock's gone nowhere for a fair bit of time. Latest move from 2023 is quite positive, and broke out above $100. With volatility in the markets, these guys pick up great assets and make something of them. Why not capitalize on their expertise? Global, gives you private equity exposure to companies you wouldn't have on your own. Yield is 0.32%.
(Analysts’ price target is $144.00)
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Premium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with ONEX has triggered its stop at $108. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 6%.
Premium contentWe reiterate ONEX as a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings showed growth again in cash reserves as the company bought back shares. Its structured credit business closed on 23 transactions, raising over $5 billion in new fee generating business. It trades at 9x earnings and under book value. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $89) to $108, looking to achieve $145 -- upside potential of 27%. Yield 0.2%
(Analysts’ price target is $1450.00)Premium contentWe reiterate ONEX, a Canadian private equity firm with WestJet in its portfolio, as a TOP PICK. It trades at 7x trailing earnings and under book value. The company is prudently using some cash reserves to draw down debt and buy back shares. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $77) to $89, looking to achieve $121 -- upside potential of 19%. Yield 0.3%
(Analysts’ price target is $121.33)
Premium contentONEX has over $49 billion in assets under management including WestJet - with over $8 billion of its own assets invested. It trades under book value. Recently reported earnings showed a 27% increase in quarterly EPS. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $77, looking to achieve $119 -- upside potential of 28%. Yield 0.3%
(Analysts’ price target is $119.00)Will continue to hold. Business performing well. Earnings continue to rise. Strong management team with sharp capital allocation skills. Current share price is cheap. Market not recognizing value in business. $145/share in capital, with a share price below $100/share.
Shares plunged in 2022 and part of this year, but have nearly recovered. Gerry Schwartz is no longer CEO. They've bought and sold many businesses. Onex's intrinsic value is $130-140, but shares trade at $90, so there's a big disconnect by the market. Onex keeps buying back shares and are ramping up acquisitions.
(Analysts’ price target is $112.33)
It is going sideways and is on his watchlist. There is lots of upside ahead when it breaks out of its consolidation phase. The breakout hasn't happened yet so he is not buying, but you could trade it - buy it at the bottom of its trading range and sell it at the top. He gives the chart a 5 out of 10 which is not bad.
More of a niche, smaller, private equity player that gets left out of transactions. Could narrow discount to NAV, say, by using excess cash to buy back shares. But that would reduce ability to do deals. Likely to continue to trade at a discount. Instead, look at BN.