ServiceNowNOWDON'T BUYOct 29, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 29, 2026. Market Open.
Leader in making companies more efficient. Massive fear that AI would put it out of business. Instead, has incorporated AI right across its platform. Market leader, so it's expensive. Five years from now every major company in the world will be running on an AI platform, and NOW will have a pretty big share. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $146.82)Story looks materially better after latest results. Latest quarter provided clearest evidence yet that AI can actually make its software more valuable. Revenue growth and contracted future revenue accelerated. Raised full-year outlook. Connecting Claude directly into its platform. Momentum needs to translate into overall growth.
If the run continues, she may trim.
Chart shows a bigger downtrend, and we're seeing higher lows. Now trying to break above the recent high. Doesn't mind nibbling, but he's concerned we're late in the cycle. A year or two ago, with this chart, he'd be super-bullish. Now you need to limit risk ~$100-105. If it takes out the lows of earlier this year, you want to exit.
But he's worried we're at the tail-end of the 4-year cycle, which means markets will come under pressure, and cyclical areas will likely bear the brunt.
The problem is the operating leverage. AI is an issue--everyone is using AI to check their grammar and spelling when they post or write something. How much will you pay for that? The easy money has been made.