Stock price when the opinion was issued
This has been a pack of cards falling through. There is kind of an option value building into this company because of its whole macroeconomic play with its geographic location close to some of the basins in India. Fundamentally the balance sheet looks really stretched. They would need a lot of help on the capital markets side in terms of financing alternatives. Trades at a Price to Book of about 6 times.
Has been hit very hard, partially because of the issues with India as well as having a convertible debt that matures at the end of 2012. Trading very cheaply based on the Indian assets. There is much upside in the Indian assets with BP (BP-N) and Reliance as their partners. BP has been very positive on the global potential of the upside. Need to get a deal with the government on higher pricing. Also, have a large amount of land that they will be drilling next month in Indonesia. (Buy a half weighted position now and take advantage of any market malaise in Nov/Dec to go to full position status on any weakness.)