Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) Newmont Goldcorp NGT-T PAST TOP PICK May 05, 2022

(A Top Pick Oct 07/21, Up 34%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NGT has triggered its stop at $92. To remain disciplined we recommend covering the position at this time. This results in a net investment gain of 30%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
$92.000

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 07/21, Up 42.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NGT is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $80) to $92.
BUY
The miners are very cheap. The question is what's going to happen to the commodity, because you have to make your call on it before you look at the businesses. If the price of gold goes sideways, those companies won't do much. Right now, he likes stocks better than royalties. Royalty companies are better to have once things get going. Stocks like AEM, NGT and ABX are really down, and that's a better way to play now.
TOP PICK

Takeover of Newcrest is huge, propelling it to be the largest in the world at what it does. Exposure to all the metals, and especially to copper with the acquisition. Operates primarily in relatively low-risk areas. Attractive opportunity for some gold exposure during uncertain times such as now. Yield is 4.14%.

(Analysts’ price target is $70.61)
DON'T BUY

Largest gold producer in the world. Global. Expects synergies from latest acquisition. Balance sheet still in good shape. Well run. A go-to, if you like gold. But look at the chart -- owning gold over the last 20 years has been a tough game. 

If you want a miner, go with the copper miners, better risk/reward, part of the next ESG evolution/revolution of where the world is going.

DON'T BUY

Owned by the big institutions and they're out chasing AI stocks, so not much interest in gold. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 11/23, Up 40%)

Still owns shares, and believes business will continue to perform. Excellent management team with good capital allocation skills. Doesn't have geographic risk that other producers have. Very good at finding gold and new assets. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 11/23, Up 13%)

NGT and AEM have overtaken ABX as the monsters in the industry by market cap. Well run. Keeps his exposure in the gold sector to 5% or less. Often a good buffer in troubled times.

SELL
Sell NGT to buy AEM?

He'd go with that strategy. He's been lightening up on gold. With a strong USD, and interest rates possibly being higher, gold may take a few steps back.  

The two biggest names, NGT and ABX, have really shown miserable production growth. Underperformed the group for a number of years now. They don't have the growth assets and their size means they can't accelerate as much. AEM is the new top senior.

WEAK BUY

World's largest gold miner. She continues to be bullish on gold at these prices. World-class assets. Gold's price rise could lift margins if costs stabilize. Costs jumped. Weak 2025 guidance. Revenue flat. If gold dips, profits will shrink fast. Stable, still room to run.

(Analysts’ price target is $82.00)