Micron TechnologyMUTOP PICKJun 25, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 16, 2026. Market Open.
Shortage in memory chips isn't going away anytime soon. Analysts' projected profits for this year are 10x what revenues were 3 years ago. Has lost money 9 years of the last 25. Risk/reward on the eventual normalized demand is not that favourable, don't put new $$ in today.
If you already have exposure, scale back or even exit.
Do you believe the memory cycle will have several years of strong legs? Will the diffusion of AI command a biblical amount of memory? And are these companies meeting this demand that's coming? The market expects generational demand for these companies. But in year 3 and 4, Chinese supply enters the market and maybe there are algorithmic breakthroughs. The market doesn't expect the boom to last beyond two years, but if you believe it will last longer, then these stocks are cheap today. Sell today and wait. These are some of the most leveraged positions in years.
It's his largest position. Pivotal was them ending their consumer business to focus on their high-bandwidth memory business. Their last earnings report was stellar a few weeks ago. Amazing. They're sold out this year and probably their high-bandwidth memory is sold out to 2027. There's support at $850. It will stay at a low PE.
It has had a big run so don't chase it. When stock prices go parabolic price targets go out the window. He compares Micron to SK Hynix (Korean) which IPO's on Friday and could take some of the liquidity out of the memory space. Also Sandisk and Seagate which are also a bit stretched. One company has a price target of $1800 but he has sold 2/3 of his position because he has made so much money. It is one of the kings in computer memory and data storage solutions. You could buy it at $975 and lower.
A bit late in the cycle to put new $$ in, though there's about 2-3 more years in the memory cycle. Prices have really spiked (up 7x). If prices stall, and even if volume continues to ramp up, people will stop being so excited. Still upside, but risky at this point.
Memory is a big area for the agentic AI wave, but there are better ways to participate.
In the last quarter, the company reported 12.20 USD per share, beating the 9.19 USD estimate by 32.81%. Revenue for the same period reached 23.86 B USD, despite the estimate of 19.97 B USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect 20.86 USD in earnings per share and 35.91 B USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 169% in the past 24h.