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Micron TechnologyMUBUYAug 24, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 25, 2026. Market Open.
He wishes he knew :) The future is digital, technology, cybersecurity. To the extent that it can grow market share in that environment, it can outperform. Analysts saying it'll "Outperform" means that it'll outperform the basket of similar companies.
Well-liked. But compared to a year ago, it's gone up 10x. Sustainable? Absolutely no. Can't tell if it's over. At a high-risk point -- if it misfires, it'll correct in a big way.
Why are you looking at a name that's had its trajectory? Yes, a very good company. Yes, exposed to AI. But what happens if investors decide they just don't want to pay for AI productivity or if the capex spend slows?
ETFs represent mindless buying, agnostic to valuation. If the index weight of a name increases, the ETF just buys. So valuations move completely away from the fundamentals. Big hedge funds are trading these names against those flows. Eventually there will be an oversupply, which takes 6-9 months to work through, and the ETFs mask this -- very dangerous.
Be careful chasing names that have had big moves up.
(Note the short timeframe.) Pulled back in July along with other names, has retraced about half. Valuation's getting cheaper because earnings are blowing estimates out of the water. Look at the long term, but remember it's cyclical. Important to look out for peak earnings, not just focus on the cheap valuation.
Doesn't know what to do with this. Semis is almost a play on the cyclicality of additional leverage on the growth on semis. Shares have moved up a lot. He expects their next numbers to be very strong but these companies are not about what they will make today or tomorrow, but in 2029? The memory space has positive tailwinds as the demand for memory keeps growing, but will that outgrow capacity? MIcron's revenue looks like it will peak in 2028 then flatline. What will happen after?
Up 254% this year. He bought a position last week because he feels this industry has changed for the better. Though, he's uncomfortable buying a stock that's moved up this much. He thinks Micron can double before the storage boom ends. Their long-term agreements with customers are spectacular for margins. True, there's pushback from some towns against data centres, though other places want them.
Very inexpensive. Sector is extremely cyclical, leading to major moves in stocks. Stock's starting to rebound here. You can start accumulating. Valuation is very attractive, as is the growth rate (159% says his terminal, so he'll have to check on that). Recent weakness could be due to profit-taking.
More room to run and grow over the longer term. Two main areas: data centres plus photo storage on devices. Still one of the biggest winners from the AI boom. Pullback is normal and healthy. Long-term agreements with customers are making the business more predictable. Trades at just 6x forward PE. Sees upside of ~80%. Yield is 0.07%.
(Analysts’ price target is $1589.48)His team has been writing calls -- that's been working because the price has come down and the volatility's really high. One of three companies forming a monopoly, so you have to have a position. His price target is $1508, but expects the better part of the summer to see consolidation in a wide range.
It wants to innovate and bring out the best semis, even if it costs a lot. He likes this strategy. It's up 210% the fourth-biggest gainer on the S&P.