Opinions
John O'Connell, CFA
Microsoft Corp
MSFT-Q
BUY
Jan 13, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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People are taking profits in the Mag 7. Still a top pick. AI-cloud dominance and smart investments are driving their growth. Financial strength keeps them steady in uncertain markets. Her price target is $480, another 25% upside. You could add to your position now.
Shares are back to July 2024. Will this be closer to $300 or $500? The easy answer is $500. $300 would mean a lot of fundamental concerns on the macro side of the market. Look for guidance ahead. Are they still on schedule to spend $13 billion this year? And what will they get in return for that? Their last Q4 revealed that their AI business surprisingly surpassed their revenue run rate of $13 billion, which was a lot sooner. Companies like this are spending alot, but they are making money back in AI.
MSFT recently reported a 170% increase in its AI and cloud services segment. It is a key player in the space and a solid company to own. It has been prudently using some of its cash reserves to buy back shares and retire debt. It supports a ROE of 34%. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $340, looking to achieve $505 — upside potential of 29%. Yield 0.8%
(Analysts’ price target is $504.89)We expand economic opportunity and growth for all. Economic growth and opportunity must reach every person, organization, community, and country. This starts with ensuring everyone has the skills to thrive in a digital, AI-enabled economy, and extends to empowering nonprofits, entrepreneurs, and other organizations to digitally transform and address society’s biggest challenges. Social media mentions are up 467% in the past 24h.
Has a durable business with Office software essential in the workplace. Their large cloud business adds to overall growth. Is -24% from highs, the best among the Mag 7 during this tariff war. However, its CoPilot isn't successful and they are breaking up with Open AI. At 27x PE, you can buy some shares now.
He trimmed shares late last year and placed hedges in effect through March. The company got ahead of itself. The CEO in the last 2 conference calls pushed too hard AI, though they are a company can roll out AI enhancements to their Office 365 an cloud products. Also, they are vulnerable to European anti-trust moves. He himself won't buy it now, but you can buy it for the long term. He's up 60% on it over the last 2 years, so he's being prudent. It has burned off a lot of excess and sees it falling below $400 in a sloppy market. It will be capped at $450.