Morgan StanleyMSCOMMENTMar 30, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
After reporting, shares fell 1.8% and down 2.8% today. They just reported: revenues beat, investment and trading were up 18%, also beating, equities were strong, though fixed income missed. Wealth management grew 10% and beat, and investment beat though fell 12%. Problem is, investors are worried about inflation.
Mergers are increasing, and banks like MS makes advisory fees from them. Also, the banks have been rallying since oil slumped, and will benefit further from rising interest rates, which appears will happen later this year. Plus, hyperscalers may need to keep borrowing money to keep competing with each other.
Has a little bit of this, but has been paring back recently. When he looks at the US financial sector he has some concerns about M&A activity slowing down, and this one is a big, global, investment bank. Earnings could plateau, and potentially decline towards the latter half of 2016 and in 2017. Prefers some of the other financials including some of the large cap banks.