Stockchase Opinions

Brian Madden Marvell Technology Group MRVL-Q DON'T BUY Apr 24, 2025

Semiconductors, broadly, have become like shooting fish in a barrel since ChapGPT made its debut in late 2022. All are pretty cyclical. Likes others better, such as NVDA and AVGO.

$57.520

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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SELL

Penetration into AI and data centres is not particularly strong. He'd prefer AVGO, or even AMD. A long shot might even be MU, at a much cheaper valuation.

BUY

Up 100% this year and just reported a strong quarter that triggered a 23% rally in one day.

BUY

It has seen strong insider buying, and a strong quarter with the slower cyclical segments finally turning the corner.

RISKY

He owned, but sold a bit early. He had a nice profit, got off the train, but the train kept going. Got rid of all chip exposure on worry that valuations were really getting out of whack on lofty sentiment. First-rate management and product. Growth is slowing, future earnings are muted, yet still over 20x PE.

If you believe in the story, you could buy a bit, tuck it away, and the potential return could be great 3-5 years from now. Problem is that technology changes so quickly, so today's winner can become tomorrow's loser. Think of INTC.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Is wildly oversold after their quarter. Shares are below when they had no AI. Start buying here.

WATCH

As with other semiconductors, has really tumbled in last few months. Possibility of a bounce here. Old resistance was $75, and would look pretty good if it can break through that. So watch for that $75; if it breaks through and particularly with volumes picking up, that would be encouraging.

PARTIAL BUY

Is in the middle of an historic decline, despite its earnings having an historic advance. It's been punished enough. Buy a quarter position here and another at $50. The CEO bought a ton of stock.

BUY

They are doing everything right, but face very good competition. This gets no credit in data centres.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 24/24, Down 14%)

A year ago, everyone was trying to find the next best thing to NVDA. System-on-a-chip puts chips out closer to the data, a nice niche. 12-month price target of $112.50, great runway.