NASDAQ:MRNA

Moderna (MRNA)

47.44
-4.15 (8.04%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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star iconJun 5, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 3 opinions in the last 12 months.

Moderna (MRNA-Q) has shown a significant turnaround in performance, with a remarkable increase of 72% in Q1, bolstered by the resolution of some lawsuits that had previously weighed on the company. The FDA approval of its new flu vaccine is another positive development, especially with impending changes in regulatory leadership that may favor its future endeavors. However, while the stock saw a nearly 50% rally last month, there are concerns about its long-term profitability and reliance on returning to revenue growth by 2026. The biotech market's binary nature adds uncertainty, leading some experts to question whether Moderna can effectively leverage its technology in adjacent markets. Overall, the sentiment around Moderna is mixed, with potential for growth but also significant risks involved.

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Consensus
Mixed
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
Pfizer, PFE
COMMENT

PFE-N vs. MRNA-Q. PFE-N is a much, much larger company. MRNA-Q is bringing their first product ever to market. PFE-N is well established and their vaccine is one of many products. They also have many drugs going off patent but their pipeline is looking better. PFE-N is not one of her core holdings but their earnings growth should improve over time.

COMMENT

They were one of the first to enter the COVID vaccine race. They stock has shot up from $16 to $90. They don't make any money, though. They're making progress with their vaccine, and are still testing it to ensure safe, mass use. He doesn't think they'll make much money if they produce the vaccine (JNJ said they wouldn't charge much for their vaccine). But Moderna would prove the quality of its technology if the produce an effetive vaccine. There's been heavy insider selling at oderna, but that's likely triggered by the huge stock run-up.

COMMENT

As mentioned in our May report to Stockchase subscribers, Moderna (with NIH) began Phase 1 testing for a vaccine back in March. If the drug pasts future tests, Moderna and Swiss drugmaker, Lonza, will produce the drug together. Monday’s news puts Moderna as the frontrunner in the vaccine race and lifted its stock 27% to 84% year-to-date.

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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
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TOP PICK
There are general concerns that any pharma company can mass-supply its vaccine, but Moderna vows to begin its still-unapproved vaccine “as early as July.” Moderna is partnering with Swiss drugmaker, Lonza, to accelerate production on mRNA-1273, which was the first candidate to enter a phase 1 human trial back in March, though results are pending. A week ago, Moderna submitted an application to the FDA to start a phase 2 trial. The company says phase 3 could happen as soon as the fall. Moderna is developing mRNA-1273 with partner NIH (the National Institutes of Health). The federal NIH explains that the partners developed a candidate early, because they were already researching “related coronaviruses” together. Unlike JNJ and Pfizer, Moderna's sole focus is vaccines to battle infectious diseases. Unlike those peers, Moderna did not suffer much of a plunge during the March bottom, and is currently trading at highs around $50. It pays no dividend and has an EPS of -1.55x and revenue growth of -55.42%. While JNJ and Pfizer can thrive if they don't find the vaccine, Moderna would have more to lose and the most to gain for this breakthrough.
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