Altria Group IncMOCOMMENTJan 13, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.
MO has performed well, only down around 4% in 2022 (with dividends included), and now trading at 8.9x times' Forward P/E.
In the 3Q, MO’s revenue declined 3.5% to $5.4B, missing estimates of $5.59B and EPS was $1.28, slightly missing estimates of $1.30.
The balance sheet is leveraged with net debt of $23.8B.
Total debt is around 2.9x times trailing twelve-month cash flow of $8.3B, and cash flow remained flat compared to $8.4B last year.
We would have almost no concerns on the dividend.
Overall, MO looks okay from a yield standpoint, but we would not really expect capital gains with low growth overall. We do like PM better within the sector. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
In tobacco, he likes this a bit more because the US$ is going to be continuously bullish going through the next couple of years. Phillip Morris (PM-N) is based on international operations, where Altria is based on domestic revenues. Phillip Morris has dropped below its 200-day moving average. After many years of these tobacco stocks doing extremely well and paying a nice dividend, the investment market has started to step away from some of these names. They’ve gotten very expensive. Dividends are good, but are probably not going to grow very quickly. In a rising interest rate environment, these look less and less attractive.