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Monster Beverage CorpMNSTDON'T BUYFeb 27, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
A great company, but the 44x PE is too high. He's watching for shares to fall 50%. MNST is losing market share in some markets to Red Bull. Historically, MNST is one of the best performers ever on the S&P. Generally, he buys companies that generate at least 20% rate of return, the PE is below 20x, and earnings grow 15-20%.
It is in an attractive space. It has 60% margins in the domestic and North American side but 34% in the International side where sales are ramping up. It is getting used to running the overseas business so there is great upside potential. Had a recent stock split. A beginning position at $52 would have limited downside. Buy 17 Hold 9 Sell 1
(Analysts’ price target is $60.00)(A Top Pick Dec 22/15. Down 12.48%.) As they build out their Coke international distribution channel, the volumes will come through. There is a lot of lumpiness associated with that right now. The nice thing is that they are gaining share of a growing pie and have great free cash flow. It just needs a little bit of time. (See Top Picks.)
(A Top Pick Nov 17/15. Down 11.51%.) This has been a little tough, and he had warned that it would be choppy. The reason for choppiness is the Coca-Cola (KO-N) deal. They are now tapping into this enormous network. They did an acquisition which will be accretive to them. Feels there is still lots of upside.
A type of name that doesn’t show up in his systems too often. Trading at over 40X forward PE with a growth rate of 15%-20%, but that still puts the PEG ratio over 2X. It does have that growth, but you are paying up for that growth quite a bit. Has moved up because earnings have been decent, but also there is still a possibility that Coke (KO-N) takes a bigger piece of the pie. This is not one that he would add in his portfolio.