McDonaldsMCDSELLJul 30, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 03, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
They demonstrate everything that is negative about stock buybacks. You erode your book value and now they trade at 100 times book value. It is trading at only 20 times earnings, however. He calculates a fair market value 46% lower than where it is now. The balance sheet is mediocre, but not strong. He does not think you are buying anything of value with this one.