McDonaldsMCDCOMMENTJun 09, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 03, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
This is going to be an under performer. It has been a great performer in the last few years, but now you have a quick serve restaurant trading like a tech stock at 25X earnings. They are still exposed to some of the cyclical headwinds such as a sour economy, rising wage prices, inflationary pressures on commodities.