McDonaldsMCDTOP PICKJan 29, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 03, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
There was a lot of cash on the sidelines last year, as investors weren’t convinced the company could turn things around. But after the results we have seen recently, that conviction has started to diffuse into the market. Thinks there is going to be a new round of capital coming in from new investors who feel better about the story. They are still early in this turnaround. There is probably 10%-15% upside at the most, and then you want to get out. Dividend yield of about 3%.