McDonaldsMCDDON'T BUYAug 13, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
This is the 1st quarter where they actually grew revenues in quite a while. This is a very strong franchise. All of the numbers would screen well on pretty much anything she looked at, other than the ability to grow. In this interest rate environment, you want some of that growth potential, and she just doesn’t see it. This is something that she just doesn’t want to participate in.