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NYSE:LYB
This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.
LyondellBasell Industries (LYB-N) has demonstrated a strong performance recently, breaking through the $80 resistance level, which has now become a new support. With market analysts noting an impressive 86% increase in Q1, LYB-N stands out as one of the top performers in the S&P. This surge is attributed to the anticipation of multiple interest rate cuts and disruptions in the petrochemical supply chain, particularly instigated by Iranian government actions. However, there are warnings about a potential pullback as geopolitical tensions continue. Investors should weigh the opportunity for further gains against the risks stemming from ongoing conflicts.
(A Top Pick March 24/14. Up 5.6%.) One of the biggest petrochemical producers in the world and they have an advantaged position in North America playing the cheap natural gas prices to produce polyethylene. That advantage narrowed when oil prices dropped because other producers use oil. Still a great company and fairly valued here. Until oil migrates to higher levels, the level of profitability is a big constrained. If you are a long-term investor, you can continue to hold as it pays a nice dividend.
As energy prices came out through the fall, the halo effect washed its way into a lot of industries, and some of the chemical companies got impacted. Also, there is a question about global demand which has an impact as well. The chemicals group as a whole is still behaving okay, but he would prefer Ashland Inc (ASH-N) which looks a little more interesting. On Lyondellbasell, you want to wait and see what happens with petroleum prices
This is kind of an enigma. You would think it would do extremely well in a lower oil based commodity market because it is one of the largest producers of polyethylene and ethylene is a by-product of petroleum oil, so input costs would drop dramatically. However, the stock has dropped dramatically, but European prices have dropped even more. Currently the European producers of ethylene are producing at a much lower cost. This is a tough one to call and not something he would want to get involved in.
Stock has fallen precipitously. US producers have lost their competitive advantage to Europeans, because ethylene prices have fallen much faster in Europe than in the US. This has created a disadvantage to American producers. However, that can be built back very quickly. These things are very fluid and it depends on the movement and relationship between WTI and Brent, the crack spreads, etc. There is an opportunity here, but remember that it is all based on what your view is on energy prices.
(A Top Pick Dec 6/13. Up 0.28%.) Stock is trading at a double-digit free cash flow yield and paying almost a 4% dividend. Biggest part of their business is chemicals, so your feed stocks for that business is ethane. Their biggest business is in the US so they can take advantage of the cheap ethane in North America. Have competitors internationally that produce those same products, but from naptha, an oil derivative, so the worry the market is having is that their competitors are going to become more cost competitive. The reality is that oil has to come down to about $25 a barrel to be cost competitive. This retreat is way overdone and he thinks it will start to go back up.
Chemical companies benefit from low natural gas prices. It makes North American produces very competitive. However, the headwind right now is a very strong US$, which is tough on commodity prices. There is concern that pricing will not hold up for some of these chemical companies. This one is a great cash flow generator. However, it is very close to breaking down and he would like to see it firm up. Also, in the most recent rally, it has rallied less than the market.
(A Top Pick Dec 6/13. Up 51.29%.) Domiciled in Europe and a global leader in the petro chemical business. Great, great exposure to a super period for petro-chemicals, especially those companies with North American production. This is probably one of the best positioned companies with a percentage of production coming out of North America, where they benefit from the natural gas bubble we have here. A cheap stock and generates a lot of free cash flow. Still a Buy.
Great example of what he looks for. Good getting better. In the chemicals business in the US and have been doing very well. The big win for the chemical industry in the US right now is that one of the biggest feedstock costs is natural gas. There is lots of natural gas in the US. Now the next leg is coming because Europe is getting a little bit better and business in Europe is improving. This company spins out a ton of cash. We will likely see low natural gas prices for some time to come.
Basically a manufacturer, designer and technology company around plastics and polymers. They also have a refining division. Valuation is really cheap. The company did quite well, particularly when there was a disparity between oil and gas. Trading at about 7X forward earnings. He anticipates earnings to be on a declining scale in 2016, but likely to stabilize in 2017. Dividend yield of 4.52%.