Stock price when the opinion was issued
It peaked in 2023 and got clobbered last year. Then, it got hit with tariffs and shares sank again. Is -25% since last January. It reports next week. Last March's report was actually okay, beating sales and earnings. But we expected that because the company pre-announced results. That's why the street punished it for weak guidance. He remains hopeful, because he expects the 46% tariff on Vietnam, which makes a lot of LULU product, will face a much lower tariff. However, shares have rebounded 18% the past month. They have a strategic plan focused on product innovation, guest experience and market expansion. Expectations are low for this quarter with even some analysts expecting an upside surprise in earnings and same-store US sales. He likes this set up and would buy now.
This has been a real turn-around story. There was great brand recognition, then it fell under its own weight, but management changes has put them back on track. Now the issue is valuation. With a 30-32 times PE, with growth only near 20% it is looking expensive. He would favour Amazon.