Steve Carlin
Lightstream Resources
LTS-T
SELL
Nov 10, 2010
Longer term it looks interesting but he needs a better understanding of the decline rates. Decline rates now are closing in on 40%, making it difficult for them to grow. Spending a lot on exploration in the Cardium with some results being just OK. Needs to see some improvement out of the Cardium.
Earnings have vanished and are expected to be minus $0.72 in the coming year. The quality of its balance sheet is pretty good, so it looks to have some defensive firepower. Trading at an 80% discount to BV. If you own, put it away and cross your fingers. Very cheap.
The short term risk is to the downside with the whole sector. You want to be buying into the sector on pullbacks, however. He tunes it out when a stock is in the $1 range. It means there are some kind of problems. It is down 90%.
(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 80.08%.) *SHORT*. A company that has been really struggling for some time. Balance sheet issues. He still likes this as a Short.
(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 82.11%.) *SHORT* The whole Short thesis has been a positive one. He still has a tiny bit left, but has closed essentially 99% of his Short.
(A Top Pick Feb11/15. Up 75.52%.) *Short* Has a lot of problems and will probably tumble another $0.30 towards zero. This was a stock that was very much linked to this whole energy weakness. He has bought back in much of his position, so doesn’t hold very much anymore.