Bruce Tatters
Lightstream Resources
LTS-T
COMMENT
Feb 18, 2015
At these prices, you are betting that the company doesn’t have to restructure before oil prices recover. He thinks we are in the middle of a bounce in oil that will retrace a little bit. In the near term he is cautious on oil, but in the 2nd half of the year thinks we are going to get a sustainable recovery in oil prices. This company is going to be challenged, but you are at about $1.50 right now. It is like a bit of an option right now, in that you are betting on a recovery before a restructuring.
Earnings have vanished and are expected to be minus $0.72 in the coming year. The quality of its balance sheet is pretty good, so it looks to have some defensive firepower. Trading at an 80% discount to BV. If you own, put it away and cross your fingers. Very cheap.
The short term risk is to the downside with the whole sector. You want to be buying into the sector on pullbacks, however. He tunes it out when a stock is in the $1 range. It means there are some kind of problems. It is down 90%.
(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 80.08%.) *SHORT*. A company that has been really struggling for some time. Balance sheet issues. He still likes this as a Short.
(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 82.11%.) *SHORT* The whole Short thesis has been a positive one. He still has a tiny bit left, but has closed essentially 99% of his Short.
(A Top Pick Feb11/15. Up 75.52%.) *Short* Has a lot of problems and will probably tumble another $0.30 towards zero. This was a stock that was very much linked to this whole energy weakness. He has bought back in much of his position, so doesn’t hold very much anymore.
At these prices, you are betting that the company doesn’t have to restructure before oil prices recover. He thinks we are in the middle of a bounce in oil that will retrace a little bit. In the near term he is cautious on oil, but in the 2nd half of the year thinks we are going to get a sustainable recovery in oil prices. This company is going to be challenged, but you are at about $1.50 right now. It is like a bit of an option right now, in that you are betting on a recovery before a restructuring.