Stockchase Opinions

John Stephenson Lightstream Resources LTS-T TOP PICK Jan 02, 2015

SHORT. This has come down a lot already and he thinks it continues to drift down to $0.20, and maybe even lower. Their big problem is that they have a lot of debt. They are trying desperately to shore up their balance sheet and sell their south east Bakken lands, with no real luck. Debt to cash flow is 7.1X. Have already slashed their CapX budget by 61% and the dividend by 63%.

$1.230

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
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DON'T BUY

Stay away. Lots of debt on the balance sheet. The dividend was cut.

COMMENT

Earnings have vanished and are expected to be minus $0.72 in the coming year. The quality of its balance sheet is pretty good, so it looks to have some defensive firepower. Trading at an 80% discount to BV. If you own, put it away and cross your fingers. Very cheap.

DON'T BUY

The short term risk is to the downside with the whole sector. You want to be buying into the sector on pullbacks, however. He tunes it out when a stock is in the $1 range. It means there are some kind of problems. It is down 90%.

SELL

(Market Call Minute.) Take your tax loss. In his opinion there is zero equity value in this company.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 80.08%.) *SHORT*. A company that has been really struggling for some time. Balance sheet issues. He still likes this as a Short.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 82.11%.) *SHORT* The whole Short thesis has been a positive one. He still has a tiny bit left, but has closed essentially 99% of his Short.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb11/15. Up 75.52%.) *Short* Has a lot of problems and will probably tumble another $0.30 towards zero. This was a stock that was very much linked to this whole energy weakness. He has bought back in much of his position, so doesn’t hold very much anymore.

SELL

(Market Call Minute.) This is a terminal company with zero equity value and you should blow this out and move on.

SELL

He would sell this and take a tax loss, and take your money and put it into almost any other name. This company has no equity value in his opinion.

SELL

(Market Call Minute.) An over levered balance sheet, and he has concerns the stock could go to zero.