John Stephenson
Lightstream Resources
LTS-T
COMMENT
May 28, 2010
Petrobakken (PBN-T) or Crescent Point (CPG-T)? Crescent Point has better management and better production but is fully priced. Experimenting with some water flooding which has the potential of doubling reserves. Petrobakken is cheap but have had very disappointing production and haven't had the growth. An alternative would be Petrobank (PBG-T) that has better growth and leverage to heavy oil.
Earnings have vanished and are expected to be minus $0.72 in the coming year. The quality of its balance sheet is pretty good, so it looks to have some defensive firepower. Trading at an 80% discount to BV. If you own, put it away and cross your fingers. Very cheap.
The short term risk is to the downside with the whole sector. You want to be buying into the sector on pullbacks, however. He tunes it out when a stock is in the $1 range. It means there are some kind of problems. It is down 90%.
(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 80.08%.) *SHORT*. A company that has been really struggling for some time. Balance sheet issues. He still likes this as a Short.
(A Top Pick Jan 2/15. Up 82.11%.) *SHORT* The whole Short thesis has been a positive one. He still has a tiny bit left, but has closed essentially 99% of his Short.
(A Top Pick Feb11/15. Up 75.52%.) *Short* Has a lot of problems and will probably tumble another $0.30 towards zero. This was a stock that was very much linked to this whole energy weakness. He has bought back in much of his position, so doesn’t hold very much anymore.