Stockchase Opinions

The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki Eli Lilly & Co. LLY-N TOP PICK Oct 31, 2024

Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, and markets human pharmaceuticals worldwide. It offers Basaglar, Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, insulin lispro protamine, insulin lispro mix 75/25, Humulin, Humulin 70/30, Humulin N, Humulin R, and Humulin U-500 for diabetes; and Jardiance, Trajenta, and Trulicity for type 2 diabetes. The company provides Alimta for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and malignant pleural mesothelioma; Cyramza for metastatic gastric cancer, gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma, metastatic NSCLC, metastatic colorectal cancer, and hepatocellular carcinoma; Erbitux for colorectal cancers, and various head and neck cancers; Retevmo for metastatic NSCLC, medullary thyroid cancer, and thyroid cancer; Tyvyt for relapsed or refractory classic Hodgkin's lymph and non-squamous NSCLC; and Verzenio for HR+, HER2- metastatic breast cancer, node positive, and early breast cancer. It offers Olumiant for rheumatoid arthritis; and Taltz for plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, and non-radiographic axial spondylarthritis. The company offers Cymbalta for depressive disorder, diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain, generalized anxiety disorder, fibromyalgia, and chronic musculoskeletal pain; Emgality for migraine prevention and episodic cluster headache; and Zyprexa for schizophrenia, bipolar I disorder, and bipolar maintenance. Its Bamlanivimab and etesevimab, and Bebtelovimab for COVID-19; Cialis for erectile dysfunction and benign prostatic hyperplasia; and Forteo for osteoporosis. Social media mentions are up 282% in the past 24h.

$838.135

Stock price when the opinion was issued

biotechnology pharmaceutical
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BUY
Will invest $27 billion in manufacturing sites.

Like TJX, their momentum is not unwinding, and shares will push to new all-time highs. It's on a streak now, of 7 straight days, that we haven't seen in 2 years.

BUY

Her best performer this month, with revenues growing 40%. Excellent balance sheet, drug pipeline and managers. She just entered this and will buy on dips.

HOLD

This got expensive, so he reduced his holding at 50x PE, now at 35x. Is still overweight this, because he believes in the GLP franchise. Expects strong revenue growth over 2 years.

TOP PICK

Loves healthcare for value and defense. Diabetes and obesity drugs continue to drive sales. Other new drugs boost earnings growth forecast. Sees 25% upside from here. Ranks 10/10 on fundamentals. Yield is 0.72%.

(Analysts’ price target is $1001.48)
BUY

Hold both LLY and NOVO? No. Choose one or the other. LLY sells more diverse drugs and more North American focused.

BUY

It's one of the least-tariffed, least-dangerous stocks though the price is high. He sees upside.

TOP PICK

Plethora of ideas. Part of the story on cancer. Weight-loss drug is in the lead, and a pill instead of injection is the ultimate goal. Earnings from weight loss will double in 3 years, and then they still have all the other drugs in the pipeline. Yield is 0.70%.

(Analysts’ price target is $996.37)
HOLD

They report Thursday. Their last report laid an egg, but expects this one to be better, so he will hold on.

PARTIAL BUY

The more successful of the GLP-1 stocks compared to NVO. Decent entry point. Trades in the 30s on forward PE, so there's a strong expectation of prescription growth; every reason to believe that's going to happen. 

Be cautious on position size; don't be aggressive. Stock was down 10% yesterday because NVO made a deal with CVS to become its prime recommended product for obesity. So NVO is starting to compete more on price.

STRONG BUY

Data just released says that LLY's weight-loss drug is far better than peer Novo Nordisk. Buy this hand over fist.