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Light oil producer. Operationally they have been doing an awesome job. Last week reported spectacular Q3 earnings above expectations in terms of production growth – 27% in 9 months. Drilling costs are down about 15% and key wells are coming on better than expected. CPP invested in them this week. Came out with a positive contingent resource report. People have been shorting oil stocks. The next catalyst is a reserve report, which he predicts will be very material because several plays have been outperforming. Potential for a dividend in 2013. He predicts 5%. And then they would grow by 7%.
His opinion on this company has changed to the positive. Will do a good job of working themselves out of the penalty box. Last year, finding costs were terrible. Had trouble meeting production numbers. Debt levels are a little bit high but some of their drilling results are going to impress the market. This is on his short list of stocks that he is looking at.
NAV around $10. Management is very capable. Has terrific number of new drilling sites they can develop. There is a flow of funds. Resource stocks are having to sell assets to fund distributions. Believes this is a good hold for a higher market price. Is a volatile stock. Goes to the moon when the market likes it. Lots of liquidity. Likes it because of a billion of tax loss carry forwards.
Well run company, growth with good assets. Capable management. Complete disconnect between companies and commodity price. Discount to NAV. Over time will do well.